© YAMIL LAGE/AFP/Getty Images Hurricane Irma left flooding in its wake after hitting Cuba in September 2017. |
Climate-fueled disasters
have forced about 20 million people a year to leave their homes in the
past decade -- equivalent to one every two seconds -- according to a new report from Oxfam.
This makes the climate the biggest driver of internal displacement
for the period, with the world's poorer countries at the highest risk,
despite their smaller contributions to global carbon pollution compared
to richer nations.
© YONAS TADESSE/AFP via Getty Images Internally-displaced people pictured in Sudan. |
People are seven times more likely to be internally displaced by
floods, cyclones and wildfires than volcanic eruptions and earthquakes,
and three times more likely than by conflict, according to the report
released Monday,
The issue is one of a raft of topics set to be
discussed at the United Nations Climate Change Conference COP 25, which
starts on Monday in Madrid.
Oxfam is calling on the international
community to do more to fund recovery programs for poorer countries
affected by the climate emergency, which is set to intensify as extreme
weather events are projected to increase in both severity and frequency.
© Fiona Goodall/Getty Images for Lumix Islands like Tuvalu are particularly badly affected by climate-fuelled internal displacement. |
Low- and lower-middle income nations, such as India, are more than
four times more likely to be affected by climate-fueled displacement
than high-income countries like Spain and the US, according to the
report.
Geography also plays a role, with about 80% of those displaced living in Asia.
Small
island developing states (SIDS), such as Cuba, Dominica and Tuvalu, are
particularly badly affected, making up seven of the top 10 countries
with the highest rates of displacement from extreme weather disasters
between 2008 and 2018.
People living in SIDs are 150 times more
likely to be displaced by extreme weather disasters than those living in
Europe, according to the report, which analyzed 2008-18 data from the
Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre.
Increasing risk as climate crisis intensifies
Internal
displacement has a social cost as well as a financial one, according to
Tim Gore, Oxfam's head of policy on climate and food justice.
"It's
always the poorest, the most vulnerable, and women in particular, that
are worst affected," Gore, who worked on the report, told CNN.
"This kind of displacement really tears at the social fabric of communities."
There is more acute risk in those countries where extreme weather and conflict combine, such as Somalia, said Gore.
Sudden
extreme weather events such as cyclones grab a lot of attention, but
slow onset phenomena like rising sea levels also have an impact, he
added.
For example, floods affecting agricultural land in low
lying coastal areas can leave it unusable for farming, pushing
inhabitants to leave the area for good.
Who should pay to combat the effects of climate change?
Oxfam is calling on world leaders to reduce emissions as fast as possible.
Developing
countries are also set to push for support from developed countries
through a financial mechanism to deal with loss and damage.
First
discussed at a climate summit in Warsaw in 2013, such a mechanism will
involve richer countries financially helping poorer countries to deal
with the impact of climate change.
"Nobody has been prepared to
talk about money and so that's one of the critical issues that will be
on the table in Madrid," said Gore.
"Ultimately somebody is going
to have to pay the price for these impacts and at the moment that price
is being paid by the poorest communities in the world."
And while current data shows lower risk in developed nations, projections suggest that is set to change.
"Rich countries are not immune either from the threat of displacement," said Gore.
"Climate change is not going to discriminate."
Bob
Ward, policy director at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate
Change and the Environment, told CNN that increasing numbers of
internally displaced people can be attributed in part to a growing
population living in high-risk areas.
Displacement can also be a
measure of success in some cases, he added, citing early warning systems
that allow people to get out of danger before an extreme weather event
hits, avoiding the major loss of life that has occurred in the past.
Ward also emphasized that climate-fueled displacement is a security issue.
"Although
it's hard to show that climate change is in itself creating political
instability and conflict, the way in which the national security
community describes climate change is as a threat multiplier," he said.
"When you get large populations displaced that's when you get instability and conflict."
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